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Impact of Russian Energy Supply on East Asian Markets & Oil Geopolitics
Workshop on Russian Energy Supply and East Asia

Sponsored By
James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy and
Petroleum Energy Center of Japan

October 25, 2003
Baker Hall
Rice University

The James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, working under a joint venture with the Japan Petroleum Energy Center (JPEC), will convene a workshop on the Impact of Russian Energy Supply on East Asian Markets and Oil Geopolitics. The private research workshop will be attended by oil industry analysts, government officials and international scholars and will be an excellent opportunity to exchange ideas about energy pricing, geopolitics and oil and gas supply strategies for East Asia.

Agenda

9:00 AM
Welcome Remarks
Ambassador Edward Djerejian, Director, Baker Institute

Opening Remarks
Mr. Masahisa Naitoh, Chairman, IEEJ

9:20 AM
Keynote Presentation - Ms. Marianne Kah, Chief Economist with ConocoPhillips
"The Oil Outlook: An Overview"

9:45 AM
Session 1 - The Market Impact of Russian Oil and Gas Exports to Asia

Speakers (each presentation will be 15 minutes long):

  • Mr. John Van Schaik, Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, "History, Background to the the Asian Oil Price Premium"
  • Dr Yoshiki Ogawa, Director and General Manager of the 2nd Dept. of Research, IEEJ, "Asian Premium and Oil and Gas Supply from Russia"
  • Dr. Ronald Soligo, Professor of Economics, Rice University, "Studying Russia Supply Impact on Saudi Price Discrimination Strategies" (powerpoint presentation)
  • Dr. Peter Hartley, Chair and Professor or Economics, Rice University, "Studying Russian Supply and Asian Gas Pricing Impacts"

Followed by 30 minute discussion

11:15 AM Coffee Break

11:30 AM
Session 2 - The International Impact of Russian Oil Companies' Strategy

Speakers:

  • Dr. Martha Olcott, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, will present on Russian oil companies' strategy

Followed by a 20 minute discussion

LUNCH

2:00 PM
Session 3 - Pipeline Routes and International Politics

Speakers:

  • Dr. Vladimir Ivanov, Director, Research Div., Economic Research Institute for Northeast Asia will present "Russian Energy Strategy 2020: Balancing Europe with the Asia-Pacific Region"
  • Mr. Kensuke Kanekiyo, Managing Director and General Manager of Int'l Cooperation Dept., IEEJ, "Japan-Russia Energy Projects and Significance of Siberian Pipeline to Far East."
  • Dr. Xiaojie Xu, CNPC, "China and Russian Energy: Political and Economic Issues"
  • Ms. Candy Green, U.S. Department of State, U.S. Pipeline Policies for FSU Oil

Followed by a 30 minute discussion

4:15 PM Coffee Break

4:30 PM
Session 4 - Oil Geopolitics and Russian Supply

Speakers:

  • Dr. Kohei Hashimoto, President, Institute for New Int'l Political Systems, will present "Russian Entry to Asian Energy Markets: Effects of Existing Power Balance."

Supplementary Comments : Ms. Ayano Sugino, Researcher, Department of Energy Strategies, "Some Considerations of Russian Foreign Energy Policy" (powerpoint presentation)

  • Mr. Joe Barnes, "US International Oil Policies: Neo-conservative Theory vs the Status Quo"

Followed by a 30 minute discussion

Other Academic and Industry attendees:

Mr. Darryl J. Egbert, Commercial Advisor, ExxonMobil Exploration Company

Dr. Neil Carmichael, Shell Exploration and Production

Ms. Amy Myers Jaffe, Baker Institute

Dr. Kenneth Medlock, Visiting Professor, Rice University

Dr. Steven Lewis, Baker Institute

Mr. Tomiyuki Kudo, President, PEC

Mr. Kensuke Sugiyama, PEC

Dr. Edgard Habib, chief economist, ChevronTexaco

Mr. Yoshinori Yajima, Executive Director, JETRO-Houston

Mr. Mark McCarthy, Assistant Director, JETRO-Houston

Ms. Atsuko Saruhashi, METI

Ms. Jillene Connors, Research Associate, Baker Institute

Ms. Stacy Ellers, Research Graduate Student Fellow, Baker Institute

 


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James A. Baker Institute III Institute for Public Policy

 
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