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Space-Weather Modeling in the Forecast
It’s easy to know when to wear a jacket or
take along an umbrella—just check your local weathercast.
But what if you’re one of those increasing number of people
who are affected by space weather, such as astronauts, technicians
overseeing satellite operations, or pilots flying near the auroras?
How can you prepare for rough conditions?
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Space weather includes a wide range of phenomena that arise in space near Earth
due to the constant outward flow of electrically charged particles from the sun
known as the solar wind. High-energy space-weather events can put space shuttles
and aircraft at risk, disable satellites, disrupt communications, and even damage
Earth-based facilities like power grids and pipeline operations.
Because of our increasing reliance on these technologies, the National Science
Foundation has established the new $20-million Center for Integrated Space-Weather
Modeling (CISM) with the goal of creating a physics-based computer model that
can simulate the complex, closely interconnected variables that give rise to
space weather. Rice is one of seven universities participating in CISM, which
is based at Boston University. More information is available online at http://www.bu.edu/cism/.
“Research groups at various institutions have been studying space weather
for years, but each within its own special area of interest,” says Frank
Toffoletto, assistant professor of physics and astronomy, who will coordinate
Rice’s CISM research. “Several of these disparate groups have come
up with effective models to simulate their part of the process, and with CISM,
we hope to bring all of those models together to form a single, comprehensive
system.”
Rice’s contribution to CISM is two-fold. First, there’s the Rice
Convection Model (RCM), a program originally developed by Professor Emeritus
Richard Wolf and co-workers. The RCM describes the physical interaction of particles
in the middle magnetosphere, the portion of Earth’s magnetic field that
extends to about 40,000 miles above the planet’s surface. A similar but
less comprehensive Rice-developed model is currently running at the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Space Environment Center (NOAA’s
SEC) in Boulder, Colorado. See http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ for more information.
In addition to contributing to research, Rice will participate in public outreach
efforts regarding CISM via the Rice Space Institute. The institute is heavily
involved in developing multimedia materials that can be used in school classrooms
as well as in museums and planetariums. Patricia Reiff, director of the institute,
will oversee Rice’s outreach efforts. For more information about the Rice
Space Institute’s public outreach program, see http://earth.rice.edu.
Funded by a five-year grant, the CISM consortium is led by Boston University
and includes Rice, Alabama A&M, Dartmouth College, Stanford University, the
University of California at Berkeley, the University of Colorado at Boulder,
and the University of Texas at El Paso. Other participants include NOAA’s
SEC, the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Science Applications International
Corporation, the Space Science Institute, and Lockheed Martin Corporation.
—Jade Boyd
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